Thursday, February 19, 2009
Here's a scenario for you....
"Really?" you would say, "why doesn't everyone use it?"
Your co-worker responds"Well, we're not really supposed to use it But the management doesn't mind because we get work done quicker, and the company actually secretly encourages it because they are making so much extra money."
"What happens if you get caught?"
"Nothing, they don't even really check for it."
"I got the new program, and have doubled my work in the past month, I got a promotion and a raise."
Just think about what you would do in that situation.
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
Nady V Swisher redux
From fangraphs.com
Last offseason, Swisher was shipped from the A’s to the White Sox for a haul of young players: lefty Gio Gonzalez, right-hander Fautino De Los Santos and outfielder Ryan Sweeney. Despite sacrificing a good deal to acquire Swisher’s talents, the South Siders quickly soured on the Ohio State star after he posted a .219/.332/.410 line in 588 PA. In fact, Swisher was so far down the totem pole that he rode the bench down the stretch in favor of minor league vagabond Dewayne Wise. Earlier this offseason, the Bombers acquired Nick and minor league righty Kanekoa Texeira for Wilson Betemit and minor league righties Jeffrey Marquez and Jhonny Nunez.
Swisher’s 2008 line looks very disappointing. However, as Peter Bendix pointed out, very little changed in the switch-hitter’s offensive profile. Take a look at some of Swisher’s key indicators over the past three seasons…
2006: 14.9 BB%, 27.3 K%, .239 ISO, 19.3 LD%, .287 BABIP
2007: 15.6 BB%, 24.3 K%, .193 ISO, 17.5 LD%, .308 BABIP
2008: 14.2 BB%, 27.2 K%, .191 ISO, 20.9 LD%, .251 BABIPIn most every respect, Swisher’s 2008 season falls in line with his work over the 2006-2007 seasons, when he posted wOBA’s of .368 and .361, respectively. The only big difference in ‘08, when his wOBA dipped to .325, was an extremely low BABIP. Despite a healthy line drive rate, Swish posted the 4th-lowest BABIP among all qualified hitters. That number will surely bounce back, and with it, so will Swisher’s overall line.
Nady’s 2008 season was sort of the inverse of Swisher’s. Acquired from the Pirates last July, the 30 year-old posted a career-best .374 wOBA after compiling marks of .346 in 2007 and .336 in 2006. X-Man has experienced an upward trend in line drive rate and has hit the ball with a little more authority, but his overall skill set remains about the same…
2006: 6 BB%, 18.2 K%, .173 ISO, 17 LD%, .311 BABIP
2007: 5.1 BB%, 23.4 K%, .197 ISO, 21.3 LD%, .323 BABIP
2008: 6.6 BB%, 18.6 K%, .205 ISO, 24.6 LD%, .337 BABIPThe odds of Nady being able to sustain a .300 average and that high of a line-drive rate are likely slim. If he reverts back to being a .270-280-ish hitter, his modest walk rate means that his OBP will probably park in the .320-.330 range. Nady is not a bad player, mind you, but his best role would appear to come as a lefty-masher off the bench: though he has admittedly been better over the past few seasons, Nady has a career .317 OBP versus righty pitching, compared to .383 versus southpaws. Perhaps Nady has turned a corner, but it’s more likely that he remains a high-power, low on-base player best used in favorable situations.
Most projection systems seem to agree that Swisher will be the better offensive player in ‘09:
Pre Season Predictions 1: NL East
Major Additions:
Francisco Rodriguez
JJ Putz
Derek Lowe
Javier Vazquez
Kenshin Kawakami
Raul Ibanez
Adam Dunn
Ken Griff....oh wait
The division of the world series champs has been incredibly intriguing the past few years. The mets keep making almost to the top, then choking and missing the playoffs. The Phillies have reaped the benefits of the shaky Metropolitan bullpen, and went on the beat the Tampa Bay Rays in the World Series.
Predicitons:
Division MVP: David Wright
Division Cy Young: Cole Hamels
Division Breakout player: Andrew Miller
Standings:
Phillies 95-67
Mets 93 -69(Wild Card winner)
Braves 85-77
Marlins 78-84
Nationals 69-93
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
More A Rod
Today in a press conference Alex Rodriguez addressed the media, fans, and teammates, getting very emotional at certain points. He said he and his cousin injected a substance that supposedly gave him an energy boost, with the street name bole. He again referred to his youth and naivety when questioned as to exactly what the hell he was thinking. He even said that he's not sure he took the substance correctly
Now a lot of people have come out to say that as a multi million dollar athlete, theres no way he didn't have a better idea of what he was taking, or that by his age he must have been mature enough to know better. Personally, I am more inclined to believe him. What does he have to gain by continuing to lie? I, for once, really sympathize for the guy. I made a post a little more than a week ago, that these guys aren't super special he-men, they're just people. To condemn them for lying or cheating is hypocritical. Many self righteous citizens who must be on the list for canonization have been pontificating on the talk radio forum, or on message boards that they can't trust A Rod, or any other PED implicated athletes. If you have been building these major league baseball players up as your heroes and idols, then shame on you in the first place. Take a step in the real world and focus that attention on a parent, or a doctor, soldier, or a teacher.
I guess my real point in this rambling jumble of words, is lay off my man A Rod. It behooves us Yankee fans to give him our support. If he's on his game, there is no one better.
(Photo from Yahoo!)
Big day
"By the time you finish reading this sentence, Alex Rodriguez may have hired another paid advisor to help him handle today’s press conference. Here is my advice — and it’s free:
1. Admit everything you did in an opening statement. Get ahead of the upcoming book and marginalize it. You know better than Selena Roberts or anybody else what you actually did or didn’t do. Beat her to the punch. List the drugs, list the dates and apologize for it. What else can they do to you then? Do not use the word “culture.” You did the steroids, not the culture.
2. Thank the team for coming and apologize for being such a distraction … again.
3. Make some kind of grand gesture to get the public on your side. Say you will donate those bonus payments for the home run plateaus to charity. Or announce that every kid at every Boys and Girl Club in America can go to a game free on you if they sign a pledge not to do drugs. Whatever it is, make some sort of financial gesture.
4. Don’t sit up there for an hour, but answer a reasonable amount of questions. I find many of the questions people think he “needs” to answer to be inconsequential. But he does have to be accountable to some degree.
5. At the end say, “Out of respect for my teammates and our upcoming season, this is the last time I will talk about this subject. Only baseball from here on out.” Then stick to that.
6. Try and act like a normal person for the rest of the year. Stay off the gossip pages. Fire all those advisors and listen to your conscience. Treat people the way you’d like to be treated. Say what is on your mind, not what you think you should say.
Oh, and drive in 135 runs or so. That would really help."
http://yankees.lhblogs.com/
Hopefully Alex follows this advice, is open and honest, and gets all this talk over and done with as soon as it possibly can. I'll post more after the press conference.Sunday, February 15, 2009
Friday, February 13, 2009
Some first day rumblings
Andy Pettitte pitched most of the second half last year with severe shoulder soreness. That explains the miserable performance.
A Rod will address the media on Tuesday, He will spend the next four days practicing what he will say in the mirror. Jeter, Posada, Rivera and Pettitte will attend. Maybe the Yankees will be smart and Jeter has been practicing ventriloquism over the offseason, just put some peanut butter in A Rod's mouth and have Derek speak. Hey it worked for Mr. Ed.
Apparently the Yankees are lightening up on the facial hair rule, look at CC and Joba.
Yahoo has some other great photos from spring training.
YAAAAAAAAAAAAAYYYYYYYYYYYYY
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Some signings
Adam Dunn agreed on a one year deal with the Nationals worth $20 million. This could cause Nick Johnson to be moved. I've always liked Johnson, he's a good player but gets hurt entirely too much. If he could put together a few healthy seasons he could be productive for somebody.
Braden Looper agreed to a one year deal worth $4.75 million with a mutual '10 option with the Brewers.
And this song is dedicated to Roberto Alomar
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
A Rod
Monday, February 9, 2009
A- Roid? Seriously?
This was the best thing Alex could have done. For once he made the smart choice. He came clean, said he was sorry, and now wants to move on. You know what, it will. Not soon, but eventually the media firestorm will pass and Alex will be back to talking about if Derek and he still stay up late playing mystery date and eating rice krispie treats at sleep overs.
Aside from this being the smartest thing for Alex to do regarding the media, it also will make headway with the fans and Hall of Fame voters. This will go along way towards gaining the forgiveness of Yankee fans. Look at Giambi, he was able to win the fans even after admitting taking steroids. All Alex has to do is hit a couple game winning homers and he'll be fine.
The bottom line is that this won't change much. If you hated A Rod before, you'll use this as another reason to hate him. If you were a fan of A Rod before this...you still will be. As far as his Hall of Fame consideration goes, I wrote my opinion on that subject last week regarding Bonds and co. A Rod is a first ballot Hall of Famer. Since 2003, Rodriguez has been subject to rigorous drug testing and has not failed a test, unless he's still being warned by Gene Orza. He had the best year of his career, as well as one of the best seasons of any major leaguer ever in 2007, while being regularly tested.
Maybe I'm naive and he's simply moved on to a new substance to avoid detection, but I am inclined believe he has been clean since then. All in all I'm sick of all this. The book, the steroids, the talk of nicknames, and team payrolls. I am ready for some baseball...some real live actual baseball...who else is with me?
Saturday, February 7, 2009
Ah Crap
Exactly what the Yankees need going into the season MORE A Rod controversy. I'll write more as facts come out.
Thursday, February 5, 2009
Around the league
Cliff Floyd agreed to terms with the Padres
Yanks made a minor trading sending Chase Wright (who was DFA'd following the Pettitte signing) to somewhere for someone.... (Brewers for Eric Fryer).
I've really been wanting to write about the infamous Torre/ Verducci book more, but wanted to wait until after I read it. Well much to my chagrin I can't get a copy of the book anywhere. So I will eventually read it and post my thoughts on what was actually said.
Steroids have been making some more news lately. Apparently Clemens DNA can be linked to hypodermic needles. This evidence really isn't going to get anyone where. How can hypo's that Brian MacNamee has been holding onto for years (how weird is that? Is this guy trying to clone the Rocket and make little angry pitchers with icyhot on their man berries?) be used as legitimate evidence. Also new evidence against big Barry Bonds has come out. Apparently there is a positive urine sample from a 2003 PED test. However, Judge Susan Illston is leaning towards throwing this evidence out unless there is "direct testimony tying it to Bonds." So although we've been hearing new stuff on the steroid front, it really amounts to a whole lot of nothing.
This all being the case, I think that despite the rampant cheating going on, you need to let these guys in the Hall of Fame. There really is no way to know, as a 100% absolute certainty, that these guys are in fact guilty. So you have to treat this as simply another era in baseball history. The 1960's was characterized as the Dead Ball era with guys like Bob Gibson being so relentlessly, disgusting, filthy, that baseball had to take action and change it's rules. The era of 1988-2006 can be called the Shrunken Balls era. Just look at these guys for what they did compared to other players of the period. 500 homers is no longer a lock for the hall. Bonds, McGwire, and even Sosa demolished mammoth home run after mammoth home run. They did more than other guys who were on steroids, and hit many home runs off of pitchers who were on steroids (Clemens, Pettitte, etc). What I personally take away from this period is how great the guys who apparently stayed clean really were. Boggs, Ripken, Griffey, Jeter, Gwynn, Frank Thomas, these are the guys who I will remember as the true stars of the time.
Sunday, February 1, 2009
The Super Bowl
Now that the Super Bowl is done with and the football season is over (considering nobody watches the Pro Bowl) that means baseball is quickly approaching. As I write this there are only 11 days 10 hours and 54 minutes until pitchers and catchers report for spring training.
Friday, January 30, 2009
Few Things
Also its been found out that the captainmanaged to grab the Joe D "thank the good lord..." sign from the stadium. Leave it to DJ to nab the most pimp ass thing he possibly could have. Maybe now he'll tap it for good luck every time he has relations with a supermodel.
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Around the league
Jon Garland agreed to a one year deal (with option) with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Aaron Heilman is headed back to the NL after a short stay with Seattle. The Mariners received SS Ronny Cedeno and Garret Olson and Heilman goes to the Cubs.
And Dustin Pedroia's older brother Brett was charged with child molestation. Gross.
I know the posts haven't been much lately, but once pitchers and catchers report there should be some more to write about. I will also have a division by division breakdown of all major league teams. Including predictions on playoff spots as well as awards.
Monday, January 26, 2009
Stuff..... and things
"Joe: Alex, you've really been pressing lately so to alleviate some of the pressure, I am going to drop you to 7th in the order.
A Rod: God that Madonna is real put together...you know for an older lady.
Joe: Alex, are you even listening....I'm dropping you to 7th in the order....for a playoff game.
A Rod: I mean she's still in really good shape, she doesn't have any loose, hangy skin or anything.
Joe: Alex....I don't think your head is in the game.
A Rod: ...and she's real spiritual too.....that Kaballah seams like something I could really get into.
Joe: Are you f'ing kidding me right now?
A Rod: ...cause we are livvving in a material world....and I am a material girl....
Joe: God damn it.
A Rod: MATERIAALLLLLLL"
Really interesting stuff there...I can see where the controversy comes from.
Also the Yankees signed Andy Pettitte to a one year deal with a guranteed base salary of $5.5 million but could be worth up to $12 with all the incentives. I love this signing. The Yankees are getting Andy on the cheap, and if he has a good year he gets his money.
*Standing ovation for Cashmoney*
Friday, January 23, 2009
Garcia to the Mets
Freddy Garcia has a agreed to a minor league with the Mets which apparently could be worth up to $8 or $9 millions if all incentives are reached. Also interesting in this is that Garcia apparently cited concern about the Yankees re-signing Andy Pettitte as to why he did not sign with the Bombers.
I'll say it again I think the Yankees rotation would really be something to be reckoned with if Pettitte is brought back. If he comes back at a reasonable price, he will likely give the Yankees 200 innings of at least league average pitching with a possibilty of him having a bounceback year.
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Ahhh brotherly love
Jay, Mark's suddenly in the spotlight sibling, has announced that he will be writing a book detailing his brothers use of steroids. In the book, entitled, The McGwire Family Secret: The Truth about Steroids, a Slugger, and Ultimate Redemption, the younger McGwire will describe how he got Mark into steroids and was the first person to actually inject him. Here is a quote from Jay McGwire from Deadspin:
"Mark is a man I think most would like to forgive because his reason wasn’t nefarious—it was for survival. My bringing the truth to surface about Mark is out of love. I want Mark to live in truth to see the light, to come to repentance so he can live in freedom—which is the only way to live. "
It's obvious that this book is written purely out of love. Love of undeserved attention, and the big fat check he's going to get from the obscene amount of copies this literary goldmine is going to sell.
Talk about being a lowlife, selling out your brother to make a buck. I understand Big Mac most likely is a cheater, but so are dozens others from this generation. the dude is just trying to get on with his life. Let him be.
Freddy Garcia
FOXSports.com's Ken Rosenthal was told by a major league source that the Mets and Yankees are the leading contenders for free agent right-hander Freddy Garcia.
Garcia has, according to the source, "pretty much narrowed it down" to the New York teams. The 33-year-old is 118-77 lifetime with a 4.07 ERA, but has pitched just 73 innings over the past two seasons. He is thought to be looking for a major league contract.
Freddy Garcia could be a nice low-risk pickup for either team. He'd be slightly lower risk for the Yankees as they have a deeper rotation and a multitude of other options in the minors (Hughes, Kennedy, Aceves, Coke). While the Mets still really need a #3 starter Garcia could be that, if he stays healthy.
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Around some other blogs
Peter Abraham and also the guys over at River Ave Blues discuss the possible lack of rotation depth if Pettitte doesn't resign.
http://riveraveblues.com/2009/01/a-matter-of-depth-on-the-mound-6937/
http://yankees.lhblogs.com/2009/01/14/at-what-point-is-rotation-depth-a-concern/
In my opinion it would behoove both the Yankees and Andy Pettitte to agree to a deal. Andy needs to realize his market is not quite what he thought and the Yankees need to realize that after the amount of money the spent this off season to go in with 2 starts who are injury risks (Joba and Burnett) and another who could get shelled (Hughes, Aceves, etc) would be dumb. Pettitte would be a perfect cog in the wheel in the back end of this rotation, but he is NOT worth the $16 millions he earned last year.
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Braves sign Lowe
Monday, January 12, 2009
Congrats to Rickey and Jim Rice
Over his career he scored 2295 runs, tops all time, and he stole 1406 bases, also tops all time. He finished his career with 3055 hits. I can only imagine how awesome his speech is going to be. I need to come up with a drinking game for how many times he will refer to himself in the third person.
Also announced is former Red Sox great Jim Rice. The former 8 time all star and 1978 AL MVP finished his career with 382 home runs and a lifetime average of .298.
Don Mattingly gained 64 votes good for 11.9%, enough to stay on the ballot but far from the requisite 75% needed for election
David Cone appeared on the ballot for the first time garnering 21 votes for 3.9%, falling short of the 5% necessary to stay on the ballot.
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Another Slow Day
Since baseball is slow I'll talk a little football:
As I write this the Cardinals are beating the Panthers 17-7, and earlier the Ravens beat the Titans. I will be watching the Giants tomorrow with a nice stiff drink. I am confident that my G-men can beat the Eagles, but I'm still worried. I figure if they beat Philly tomorrow, they will defeat either Arizona or Carolina and make the Super Bowl.
My Super Bowl Prediction is
Giants v Steelers.
EDIT : 8:49 PM
did i say Giants v Steelers.....I meant Eagles v Steelers
Friday, January 9, 2009
Not a whole lot going on today
I'll write a little more about the Red Sox acquisitions. What the Red Sox have done over the past two days is as different from the Yankees offseason as possible. The Bombers made big splashes adding top notch players, and really changing the look of the team. The Red Sox didn't really have to make major moves like the Yankees, even with sub par years from Ortiz and Lowell they made the ALCS. What the Red Sox have done is give themselves incredible depth. They have a bench featuring Kotsay and Baldelli. If Drew or Bay were to go down for a while, they have way more than adequate replacements. Adding Smoltz to the rotation (even though word is he may not be ready to pitch at the beginning of the year), gives them a veteran presence at the back end of the rotation that allows Clay Bucholtz more time in AAA, and considering Brad Penny's injury history, guys like Smoltz can move up to fill in the #2 or #3 successfully, or at least better than adding a guy like Sidney Ponson off the scrap heap.
Bill James 2009 Handbook
According to his +/- scale Robinson Cano had a score of -16 at 2nd base last year. This scale is strictly defensive, so his putrid offensive year had no effect on the score. That -16 earned Robby a dead last ranking out of all MLB 2nd Basemen in 08.
Mark Teixeira earned a score of +24, ranking him first, four points ahead of Albert Pujols.
Derek Jeter's score of -12 proved all of the experts wrong, it was NOT the worst in the majors. Five other shortstops had the privilege of scoring worse that DJ (although he dead ranked dead last when combing the three year numbers from 06-08).
The book is full of all kinds of interesting stats and analysis, again I wouldn't swear by it, or say it is the be all, end all of baseball knowledge, but it's fun to look through and I plan on placing directly next to my toilet (where I do most of my heavy reading).
In other literature news I recently picked up a copy of Buster Olney's The Last Night of the Yankee Dynasty. I know I'm a bit behind as this book came out several years ago, but this copy has an extended version discussing the 2004-2007 seasons, focusing a lot on Alex Rodriguez. It really gives you the feeling of being right in the Yankee clubhouse. It details the Torre, Martinez, O'Neill dynasty of 1996-2001, interweaving anecdotes of player relationships, details of working for the Big Stein, and the makeup of those Yankees that I grew to know and love. It is filled with such detail that I almost feel David Wells hangover, Paul O'Neill's obsession with success, or Roger Clemens unmatched intensity (hopefully I don't get the same side effects from the HGH, I can't afford to have my boys shrink). Overall a great read.
Thursday, January 8, 2009
Red Sox close to Baldelli and Smoltz
Smoltz, who turns 42 in May, figures to be Boston's 4th starter. If he can stay healthy, he is a veteran who is a big game pitcher, and knows how to win. He won't put up the type of numbers that he has in previous years, now in the brutal AL East, but could be a solid contributor to the Red Sox. He could be a dangerous part of that team in the playoffs, given his closing experience.
Other news around baseball:
Hoffman agreed to a deal with Milwaukee.
The Mets have made an offer to Tim Redding.
Andy Pettitte may now be open to going back to Houston.
The Yankees wil most likely trade Xavier Nady, but Nick Swisher is possible also.
And in the "I'm sure someone....somewhere cares" category:
Nationals pitcher John Patterson retired yesterday.
Wednesday, January 7, 2009
Fun Red Sox fact.
The Yanks are better off with Swisher rather than Nady
These are the 162 game averages for each player:
Nady
BA .280 OBP .335 SLG .458 HRs 21 RBI 78 R 69 H 150
Swisher
BA .244 OBP .354 SLG .451 HRs 28 RBI 86 R 94 H 137
They both have very similar career numbers, but Swisher has more potential to be a masher, while Nady is merely a nice 5th or 6th hitter.
Is Andy Pettitte on Meth?
Last year Andy had a 4.54 ERA, pitched 204 innings, went 14-14, with a BAA of .290, and a WHIP of 1.41 and an ERA+ of 98. This would make him a number 3 or 4 starter, , while making $16 million a year.
Let's compare him to some other pitchers last year.
Paul Byrd- ERA 4.60, 180 innings , 11-12, BAA .287, WHIP 1.32, ERA+ 98. Salary $7.5 million.
Tim Wakefield- ERA 4.13, 181 innings, 10-11, BAA .228, WHIP 1.18, ERA+112. Salary $4 million.
Brett Myers- ERA 4.55, 190 innings, 10-13, BAA, .267, WHIP 1.38, ERA+ 96. Salary $8.5 million.
The Yankees came out and said they believed Andy was about an $8 million pitcher, but offered him $10 mil because they loved Andy and wanted him back. That seems right about what he's worth.
The Inaugural Post
A little about me:
I'm a fresh college graduate in the teaching field.
I love me some Yankees
I still manage to be fairly un-biased, despite the bad name a lot of us Yankees fans have.
I am deeply and hopelessly obsessed with the game of baseball.
Here's a couple quick thoughts for the night
MLB Network- pretty legit. The Don Larsen game was great, getting to hear Mel Allen and Vin Scully's combined voices for 9 innings was amazing. If there were strippers, beer, and pie...I would've been convinced that I had gone to heaven. The rest of the programming is solid, if a bit repetative.
Yankees Payroll- will be lower than last year...stop f'ing bitching about it.
Manny- Will find a home somewhere in CA and dominate the NL West, until he decides he doesn't want to, and will then sit in the clubhouse eating Easy Mac, nursing a "knee injury", and attempting to find Waldo in a sea of inexplicably similarly dressed people.
Pat Burell to the Rays- a solid pickup for a young team. Burell's veteran prescence and power bat will do a lot for the AL Champs, as long as he stays a DH.
Milton Bradley to the Cubs- Big Risk for the Cubbies. Bradley played out of this world last year, but remains an injury risk. I also think his character issues are blown out of proportion.
Holliday and Giambi to the A's- Nice addition's to the middle of the lineup for the A's. With the Angels losing their closer, and Teixeira, Oaktown could make a run.
Ok thats it for now.